Sampling from finite population with replacement










2














Suppose we have a population of size 10,000. We choose 1000 persons from the population, uniformly and independently, and ask them some question(s). The answers are random variables $X_i$.



Since we choose independently, we possibly can ask the same person multiple times (obtaining the same answers). In other words, we sample with replacement.



My point of view is: $X_i$ are independent and identically distributed random variables, and there is absolutely no difference here with sampling infinite population. For example, WLLN or CLT apply identically in both scenarios (sampling finite population with replacement and sampling infinite population).



Am I correct, or I am missing something?










share|cite|improve this question





















  • (1) In your example sampling $n = 1000$ from among $N = 10,000,$ there is not much difference between sampling with and without replacement. You are sampling only 10% of the population and interviewing a given individual twice will be relatively rare. (2) However, in sampling without replacement, the $X_i$ are not independent. For example, in sampling 13 cards from a deck of 52, the probability that the first card dealt is an Ace is $4/52,$ but then the probability of getting an Ace on the 2nd card is $3/51.$ ...
    – BruceET
    Nov 11 at 8:50










  • ... (3) For sampling without replacement, use the hypergeometric distribution; for sampling with replacement, use the binomial distribution. (4) In sampling 13 cards from a deck of 52 without replacement, the probability of getting four Aces is $4 choose 448 choose 9/52 choose 13 =.00264.$ If you were sampling with replacement, the probability of getting four Aces would be $13 choose 4(1/13)^4(12/13)^9 = .01218.$ // In R, dhyper(4, 4, 48, 13) returns 0.002641056; dbinom(4, 13, 1/13) returns 0.01218074.
    – BruceET
    Nov 11 at 9:07











  • @BruceET Thank you; I am not interested in sampling without replacement. I am interested in whether finite population size affects in any way sampling with replacement, because I've heard people saying it does. Say I sample 1000 times, the population size can be 10, or 1000, or 10000, or infinite. I apply CLT to find the distribution of sum of samples, and I think the accuracy of using CLT will be exactly the same, no matter what is the population size.
    – kludg
    Nov 11 at 9:31










  • Well, to discuss the distinction between the two kinds of sampling you need to be interested in sampling without replacement --- just temporarily. What you say about what 'people say' is a little garbled. See my Answer on both accounts.
    – BruceET
    Nov 11 at 10:42










  • Do you record the instances where $X_i$ and $X_j$ refer to the same individual, or do they go unnoticed?
    – kjetil b halvorsen
    Nov 11 at 15:38















2














Suppose we have a population of size 10,000. We choose 1000 persons from the population, uniformly and independently, and ask them some question(s). The answers are random variables $X_i$.



Since we choose independently, we possibly can ask the same person multiple times (obtaining the same answers). In other words, we sample with replacement.



My point of view is: $X_i$ are independent and identically distributed random variables, and there is absolutely no difference here with sampling infinite population. For example, WLLN or CLT apply identically in both scenarios (sampling finite population with replacement and sampling infinite population).



Am I correct, or I am missing something?










share|cite|improve this question





















  • (1) In your example sampling $n = 1000$ from among $N = 10,000,$ there is not much difference between sampling with and without replacement. You are sampling only 10% of the population and interviewing a given individual twice will be relatively rare. (2) However, in sampling without replacement, the $X_i$ are not independent. For example, in sampling 13 cards from a deck of 52, the probability that the first card dealt is an Ace is $4/52,$ but then the probability of getting an Ace on the 2nd card is $3/51.$ ...
    – BruceET
    Nov 11 at 8:50










  • ... (3) For sampling without replacement, use the hypergeometric distribution; for sampling with replacement, use the binomial distribution. (4) In sampling 13 cards from a deck of 52 without replacement, the probability of getting four Aces is $4 choose 448 choose 9/52 choose 13 =.00264.$ If you were sampling with replacement, the probability of getting four Aces would be $13 choose 4(1/13)^4(12/13)^9 = .01218.$ // In R, dhyper(4, 4, 48, 13) returns 0.002641056; dbinom(4, 13, 1/13) returns 0.01218074.
    – BruceET
    Nov 11 at 9:07











  • @BruceET Thank you; I am not interested in sampling without replacement. I am interested in whether finite population size affects in any way sampling with replacement, because I've heard people saying it does. Say I sample 1000 times, the population size can be 10, or 1000, or 10000, or infinite. I apply CLT to find the distribution of sum of samples, and I think the accuracy of using CLT will be exactly the same, no matter what is the population size.
    – kludg
    Nov 11 at 9:31










  • Well, to discuss the distinction between the two kinds of sampling you need to be interested in sampling without replacement --- just temporarily. What you say about what 'people say' is a little garbled. See my Answer on both accounts.
    – BruceET
    Nov 11 at 10:42










  • Do you record the instances where $X_i$ and $X_j$ refer to the same individual, or do they go unnoticed?
    – kjetil b halvorsen
    Nov 11 at 15:38













2












2








2







Suppose we have a population of size 10,000. We choose 1000 persons from the population, uniformly and independently, and ask them some question(s). The answers are random variables $X_i$.



Since we choose independently, we possibly can ask the same person multiple times (obtaining the same answers). In other words, we sample with replacement.



My point of view is: $X_i$ are independent and identically distributed random variables, and there is absolutely no difference here with sampling infinite population. For example, WLLN or CLT apply identically in both scenarios (sampling finite population with replacement and sampling infinite population).



Am I correct, or I am missing something?










share|cite|improve this question













Suppose we have a population of size 10,000. We choose 1000 persons from the population, uniformly and independently, and ask them some question(s). The answers are random variables $X_i$.



Since we choose independently, we possibly can ask the same person multiple times (obtaining the same answers). In other words, we sample with replacement.



My point of view is: $X_i$ are independent and identically distributed random variables, and there is absolutely no difference here with sampling infinite population. For example, WLLN or CLT apply identically in both scenarios (sampling finite population with replacement and sampling infinite population).



Am I correct, or I am missing something?







sampling law-of-large-numbers finite-population






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share|cite|improve this question











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share|cite|improve this question










asked Nov 11 at 6:51









kludg

1333




1333











  • (1) In your example sampling $n = 1000$ from among $N = 10,000,$ there is not much difference between sampling with and without replacement. You are sampling only 10% of the population and interviewing a given individual twice will be relatively rare. (2) However, in sampling without replacement, the $X_i$ are not independent. For example, in sampling 13 cards from a deck of 52, the probability that the first card dealt is an Ace is $4/52,$ but then the probability of getting an Ace on the 2nd card is $3/51.$ ...
    – BruceET
    Nov 11 at 8:50










  • ... (3) For sampling without replacement, use the hypergeometric distribution; for sampling with replacement, use the binomial distribution. (4) In sampling 13 cards from a deck of 52 without replacement, the probability of getting four Aces is $4 choose 448 choose 9/52 choose 13 =.00264.$ If you were sampling with replacement, the probability of getting four Aces would be $13 choose 4(1/13)^4(12/13)^9 = .01218.$ // In R, dhyper(4, 4, 48, 13) returns 0.002641056; dbinom(4, 13, 1/13) returns 0.01218074.
    – BruceET
    Nov 11 at 9:07











  • @BruceET Thank you; I am not interested in sampling without replacement. I am interested in whether finite population size affects in any way sampling with replacement, because I've heard people saying it does. Say I sample 1000 times, the population size can be 10, or 1000, or 10000, or infinite. I apply CLT to find the distribution of sum of samples, and I think the accuracy of using CLT will be exactly the same, no matter what is the population size.
    – kludg
    Nov 11 at 9:31










  • Well, to discuss the distinction between the two kinds of sampling you need to be interested in sampling without replacement --- just temporarily. What you say about what 'people say' is a little garbled. See my Answer on both accounts.
    – BruceET
    Nov 11 at 10:42










  • Do you record the instances where $X_i$ and $X_j$ refer to the same individual, or do they go unnoticed?
    – kjetil b halvorsen
    Nov 11 at 15:38
















  • (1) In your example sampling $n = 1000$ from among $N = 10,000,$ there is not much difference between sampling with and without replacement. You are sampling only 10% of the population and interviewing a given individual twice will be relatively rare. (2) However, in sampling without replacement, the $X_i$ are not independent. For example, in sampling 13 cards from a deck of 52, the probability that the first card dealt is an Ace is $4/52,$ but then the probability of getting an Ace on the 2nd card is $3/51.$ ...
    – BruceET
    Nov 11 at 8:50










  • ... (3) For sampling without replacement, use the hypergeometric distribution; for sampling with replacement, use the binomial distribution. (4) In sampling 13 cards from a deck of 52 without replacement, the probability of getting four Aces is $4 choose 448 choose 9/52 choose 13 =.00264.$ If you were sampling with replacement, the probability of getting four Aces would be $13 choose 4(1/13)^4(12/13)^9 = .01218.$ // In R, dhyper(4, 4, 48, 13) returns 0.002641056; dbinom(4, 13, 1/13) returns 0.01218074.
    – BruceET
    Nov 11 at 9:07











  • @BruceET Thank you; I am not interested in sampling without replacement. I am interested in whether finite population size affects in any way sampling with replacement, because I've heard people saying it does. Say I sample 1000 times, the population size can be 10, or 1000, or 10000, or infinite. I apply CLT to find the distribution of sum of samples, and I think the accuracy of using CLT will be exactly the same, no matter what is the population size.
    – kludg
    Nov 11 at 9:31










  • Well, to discuss the distinction between the two kinds of sampling you need to be interested in sampling without replacement --- just temporarily. What you say about what 'people say' is a little garbled. See my Answer on both accounts.
    – BruceET
    Nov 11 at 10:42










  • Do you record the instances where $X_i$ and $X_j$ refer to the same individual, or do they go unnoticed?
    – kjetil b halvorsen
    Nov 11 at 15:38















(1) In your example sampling $n = 1000$ from among $N = 10,000,$ there is not much difference between sampling with and without replacement. You are sampling only 10% of the population and interviewing a given individual twice will be relatively rare. (2) However, in sampling without replacement, the $X_i$ are not independent. For example, in sampling 13 cards from a deck of 52, the probability that the first card dealt is an Ace is $4/52,$ but then the probability of getting an Ace on the 2nd card is $3/51.$ ...
– BruceET
Nov 11 at 8:50




(1) In your example sampling $n = 1000$ from among $N = 10,000,$ there is not much difference between sampling with and without replacement. You are sampling only 10% of the population and interviewing a given individual twice will be relatively rare. (2) However, in sampling without replacement, the $X_i$ are not independent. For example, in sampling 13 cards from a deck of 52, the probability that the first card dealt is an Ace is $4/52,$ but then the probability of getting an Ace on the 2nd card is $3/51.$ ...
– BruceET
Nov 11 at 8:50












... (3) For sampling without replacement, use the hypergeometric distribution; for sampling with replacement, use the binomial distribution. (4) In sampling 13 cards from a deck of 52 without replacement, the probability of getting four Aces is $4 choose 448 choose 9/52 choose 13 =.00264.$ If you were sampling with replacement, the probability of getting four Aces would be $13 choose 4(1/13)^4(12/13)^9 = .01218.$ // In R, dhyper(4, 4, 48, 13) returns 0.002641056; dbinom(4, 13, 1/13) returns 0.01218074.
– BruceET
Nov 11 at 9:07





... (3) For sampling without replacement, use the hypergeometric distribution; for sampling with replacement, use the binomial distribution. (4) In sampling 13 cards from a deck of 52 without replacement, the probability of getting four Aces is $4 choose 448 choose 9/52 choose 13 =.00264.$ If you were sampling with replacement, the probability of getting four Aces would be $13 choose 4(1/13)^4(12/13)^9 = .01218.$ // In R, dhyper(4, 4, 48, 13) returns 0.002641056; dbinom(4, 13, 1/13) returns 0.01218074.
– BruceET
Nov 11 at 9:07













@BruceET Thank you; I am not interested in sampling without replacement. I am interested in whether finite population size affects in any way sampling with replacement, because I've heard people saying it does. Say I sample 1000 times, the population size can be 10, or 1000, or 10000, or infinite. I apply CLT to find the distribution of sum of samples, and I think the accuracy of using CLT will be exactly the same, no matter what is the population size.
– kludg
Nov 11 at 9:31




@BruceET Thank you; I am not interested in sampling without replacement. I am interested in whether finite population size affects in any way sampling with replacement, because I've heard people saying it does. Say I sample 1000 times, the population size can be 10, or 1000, or 10000, or infinite. I apply CLT to find the distribution of sum of samples, and I think the accuracy of using CLT will be exactly the same, no matter what is the population size.
– kludg
Nov 11 at 9:31












Well, to discuss the distinction between the two kinds of sampling you need to be interested in sampling without replacement --- just temporarily. What you say about what 'people say' is a little garbled. See my Answer on both accounts.
– BruceET
Nov 11 at 10:42




Well, to discuss the distinction between the two kinds of sampling you need to be interested in sampling without replacement --- just temporarily. What you say about what 'people say' is a little garbled. See my Answer on both accounts.
– BruceET
Nov 11 at 10:42












Do you record the instances where $X_i$ and $X_j$ refer to the same individual, or do they go unnoticed?
– kjetil b halvorsen
Nov 11 at 15:38




Do you record the instances where $X_i$ and $X_j$ refer to the same individual, or do they go unnoticed?
– kjetil b halvorsen
Nov 11 at 15:38










1 Answer
1






active

oldest

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4














Suppose 25% of the people in a population of 10,000 favor Proposition A.
You are going to poll 1000 of them asking their opinion on the proposition.
Suppose you take precautions to sample without replacement (to avoid interviewing
anyone twice). Then let the proportion of those interviewed who are in favor be $hat p_hyp.$



By contrast, suppose you take no such precautions (in effect,
sampling with replacement). Then let your estimate of the proportion in favor
be $hat p_bin.$ Your question is whether there will be an important
difference between the estimates $hat p_hyp$ and $hat p_bin.$



The R code below simulates 100,000 such polls according to each method, and
summarizes results to simulate $E(hat p_hyp)$ and $E(hat p_bin)$
and also the standard deviations of these estimates.



set.seed(1111); m = 10^5; n = 1000
pop = c(rep(1, 2500), rep(0,7500))
p.hyp = replicate(m, sum(sample(pop,n))/n) # sampling without replacement
mean(p.hyp); sd(p.hyp)
[1] 0.2500288
[1] 0.01297334
p.bin = replicate(m, sum(sample(pop,n,repl=T))/n) # sampling with replacement
mean(p.bin); sd(p.bin)
[1] 0.2500593
[1] 0.01369168


As you can see, both estimates have expected values very near to the true
proportion 25%. The estimate from sampling without replacement is a little
less variable.



A general "rule of thumb" is that if you are sampling 10% or less of the population,
the difference between sampling with and without replacement can viewed as negligible.



Specifically, if $X sim mathsfBinom(n, p),$ then $E(X) = np$ and
$Var(X) = np(1-p).$
If $Y$ is hypergeometric based on a sample of size $n$ from a population with $S$ successes and $N-S$
failures, then $E(Y) = n(S/N)$ and $Var(Y) = n(S/N)(1-S/N)[(N-n)/(N-1)].$
Letting $p = S/N$ this amounts to $E(Y) = np$ and
$Var(Y)=np(1-p)left(fracN-nN-1right).$



The factor $fracN-nN-1$ in
$Var(Y)$ is sometimes called the 'finite population correction'; notice
that if $n < N/10$ then this factor is close to $1.$ [It's called
'finite population correction' because there is no practical difference between
sampling with and without replacement when sampling from an infinite population.]



Of course this factor is not the only distinction between the two distributions. However,
for large $n$ and for $p$ not
too close to 0 or 1, both the binomial and hypergeometric distributions
can be approximated by a normal distribution that matches means and variances.
In terms of normal approximations the only distinction between sampling
with and without replacement often amounts to the finite population correction.






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    4














    Suppose 25% of the people in a population of 10,000 favor Proposition A.
    You are going to poll 1000 of them asking their opinion on the proposition.
    Suppose you take precautions to sample without replacement (to avoid interviewing
    anyone twice). Then let the proportion of those interviewed who are in favor be $hat p_hyp.$



    By contrast, suppose you take no such precautions (in effect,
    sampling with replacement). Then let your estimate of the proportion in favor
    be $hat p_bin.$ Your question is whether there will be an important
    difference between the estimates $hat p_hyp$ and $hat p_bin.$



    The R code below simulates 100,000 such polls according to each method, and
    summarizes results to simulate $E(hat p_hyp)$ and $E(hat p_bin)$
    and also the standard deviations of these estimates.



    set.seed(1111); m = 10^5; n = 1000
    pop = c(rep(1, 2500), rep(0,7500))
    p.hyp = replicate(m, sum(sample(pop,n))/n) # sampling without replacement
    mean(p.hyp); sd(p.hyp)
    [1] 0.2500288
    [1] 0.01297334
    p.bin = replicate(m, sum(sample(pop,n,repl=T))/n) # sampling with replacement
    mean(p.bin); sd(p.bin)
    [1] 0.2500593
    [1] 0.01369168


    As you can see, both estimates have expected values very near to the true
    proportion 25%. The estimate from sampling without replacement is a little
    less variable.



    A general "rule of thumb" is that if you are sampling 10% or less of the population,
    the difference between sampling with and without replacement can viewed as negligible.



    Specifically, if $X sim mathsfBinom(n, p),$ then $E(X) = np$ and
    $Var(X) = np(1-p).$
    If $Y$ is hypergeometric based on a sample of size $n$ from a population with $S$ successes and $N-S$
    failures, then $E(Y) = n(S/N)$ and $Var(Y) = n(S/N)(1-S/N)[(N-n)/(N-1)].$
    Letting $p = S/N$ this amounts to $E(Y) = np$ and
    $Var(Y)=np(1-p)left(fracN-nN-1right).$



    The factor $fracN-nN-1$ in
    $Var(Y)$ is sometimes called the 'finite population correction'; notice
    that if $n < N/10$ then this factor is close to $1.$ [It's called
    'finite population correction' because there is no practical difference between
    sampling with and without replacement when sampling from an infinite population.]



    Of course this factor is not the only distinction between the two distributions. However,
    for large $n$ and for $p$ not
    too close to 0 or 1, both the binomial and hypergeometric distributions
    can be approximated by a normal distribution that matches means and variances.
    In terms of normal approximations the only distinction between sampling
    with and without replacement often amounts to the finite population correction.






    share|cite|improve this answer



























      4














      Suppose 25% of the people in a population of 10,000 favor Proposition A.
      You are going to poll 1000 of them asking their opinion on the proposition.
      Suppose you take precautions to sample without replacement (to avoid interviewing
      anyone twice). Then let the proportion of those interviewed who are in favor be $hat p_hyp.$



      By contrast, suppose you take no such precautions (in effect,
      sampling with replacement). Then let your estimate of the proportion in favor
      be $hat p_bin.$ Your question is whether there will be an important
      difference between the estimates $hat p_hyp$ and $hat p_bin.$



      The R code below simulates 100,000 such polls according to each method, and
      summarizes results to simulate $E(hat p_hyp)$ and $E(hat p_bin)$
      and also the standard deviations of these estimates.



      set.seed(1111); m = 10^5; n = 1000
      pop = c(rep(1, 2500), rep(0,7500))
      p.hyp = replicate(m, sum(sample(pop,n))/n) # sampling without replacement
      mean(p.hyp); sd(p.hyp)
      [1] 0.2500288
      [1] 0.01297334
      p.bin = replicate(m, sum(sample(pop,n,repl=T))/n) # sampling with replacement
      mean(p.bin); sd(p.bin)
      [1] 0.2500593
      [1] 0.01369168


      As you can see, both estimates have expected values very near to the true
      proportion 25%. The estimate from sampling without replacement is a little
      less variable.



      A general "rule of thumb" is that if you are sampling 10% or less of the population,
      the difference between sampling with and without replacement can viewed as negligible.



      Specifically, if $X sim mathsfBinom(n, p),$ then $E(X) = np$ and
      $Var(X) = np(1-p).$
      If $Y$ is hypergeometric based on a sample of size $n$ from a population with $S$ successes and $N-S$
      failures, then $E(Y) = n(S/N)$ and $Var(Y) = n(S/N)(1-S/N)[(N-n)/(N-1)].$
      Letting $p = S/N$ this amounts to $E(Y) = np$ and
      $Var(Y)=np(1-p)left(fracN-nN-1right).$



      The factor $fracN-nN-1$ in
      $Var(Y)$ is sometimes called the 'finite population correction'; notice
      that if $n < N/10$ then this factor is close to $1.$ [It's called
      'finite population correction' because there is no practical difference between
      sampling with and without replacement when sampling from an infinite population.]



      Of course this factor is not the only distinction between the two distributions. However,
      for large $n$ and for $p$ not
      too close to 0 or 1, both the binomial and hypergeometric distributions
      can be approximated by a normal distribution that matches means and variances.
      In terms of normal approximations the only distinction between sampling
      with and without replacement often amounts to the finite population correction.






      share|cite|improve this answer

























        4












        4








        4






        Suppose 25% of the people in a population of 10,000 favor Proposition A.
        You are going to poll 1000 of them asking their opinion on the proposition.
        Suppose you take precautions to sample without replacement (to avoid interviewing
        anyone twice). Then let the proportion of those interviewed who are in favor be $hat p_hyp.$



        By contrast, suppose you take no such precautions (in effect,
        sampling with replacement). Then let your estimate of the proportion in favor
        be $hat p_bin.$ Your question is whether there will be an important
        difference between the estimates $hat p_hyp$ and $hat p_bin.$



        The R code below simulates 100,000 such polls according to each method, and
        summarizes results to simulate $E(hat p_hyp)$ and $E(hat p_bin)$
        and also the standard deviations of these estimates.



        set.seed(1111); m = 10^5; n = 1000
        pop = c(rep(1, 2500), rep(0,7500))
        p.hyp = replicate(m, sum(sample(pop,n))/n) # sampling without replacement
        mean(p.hyp); sd(p.hyp)
        [1] 0.2500288
        [1] 0.01297334
        p.bin = replicate(m, sum(sample(pop,n,repl=T))/n) # sampling with replacement
        mean(p.bin); sd(p.bin)
        [1] 0.2500593
        [1] 0.01369168


        As you can see, both estimates have expected values very near to the true
        proportion 25%. The estimate from sampling without replacement is a little
        less variable.



        A general "rule of thumb" is that if you are sampling 10% or less of the population,
        the difference between sampling with and without replacement can viewed as negligible.



        Specifically, if $X sim mathsfBinom(n, p),$ then $E(X) = np$ and
        $Var(X) = np(1-p).$
        If $Y$ is hypergeometric based on a sample of size $n$ from a population with $S$ successes and $N-S$
        failures, then $E(Y) = n(S/N)$ and $Var(Y) = n(S/N)(1-S/N)[(N-n)/(N-1)].$
        Letting $p = S/N$ this amounts to $E(Y) = np$ and
        $Var(Y)=np(1-p)left(fracN-nN-1right).$



        The factor $fracN-nN-1$ in
        $Var(Y)$ is sometimes called the 'finite population correction'; notice
        that if $n < N/10$ then this factor is close to $1.$ [It's called
        'finite population correction' because there is no practical difference between
        sampling with and without replacement when sampling from an infinite population.]



        Of course this factor is not the only distinction between the two distributions. However,
        for large $n$ and for $p$ not
        too close to 0 or 1, both the binomial and hypergeometric distributions
        can be approximated by a normal distribution that matches means and variances.
        In terms of normal approximations the only distinction between sampling
        with and without replacement often amounts to the finite population correction.






        share|cite|improve this answer














        Suppose 25% of the people in a population of 10,000 favor Proposition A.
        You are going to poll 1000 of them asking their opinion on the proposition.
        Suppose you take precautions to sample without replacement (to avoid interviewing
        anyone twice). Then let the proportion of those interviewed who are in favor be $hat p_hyp.$



        By contrast, suppose you take no such precautions (in effect,
        sampling with replacement). Then let your estimate of the proportion in favor
        be $hat p_bin.$ Your question is whether there will be an important
        difference between the estimates $hat p_hyp$ and $hat p_bin.$



        The R code below simulates 100,000 such polls according to each method, and
        summarizes results to simulate $E(hat p_hyp)$ and $E(hat p_bin)$
        and also the standard deviations of these estimates.



        set.seed(1111); m = 10^5; n = 1000
        pop = c(rep(1, 2500), rep(0,7500))
        p.hyp = replicate(m, sum(sample(pop,n))/n) # sampling without replacement
        mean(p.hyp); sd(p.hyp)
        [1] 0.2500288
        [1] 0.01297334
        p.bin = replicate(m, sum(sample(pop,n,repl=T))/n) # sampling with replacement
        mean(p.bin); sd(p.bin)
        [1] 0.2500593
        [1] 0.01369168


        As you can see, both estimates have expected values very near to the true
        proportion 25%. The estimate from sampling without replacement is a little
        less variable.



        A general "rule of thumb" is that if you are sampling 10% or less of the population,
        the difference between sampling with and without replacement can viewed as negligible.



        Specifically, if $X sim mathsfBinom(n, p),$ then $E(X) = np$ and
        $Var(X) = np(1-p).$
        If $Y$ is hypergeometric based on a sample of size $n$ from a population with $S$ successes and $N-S$
        failures, then $E(Y) = n(S/N)$ and $Var(Y) = n(S/N)(1-S/N)[(N-n)/(N-1)].$
        Letting $p = S/N$ this amounts to $E(Y) = np$ and
        $Var(Y)=np(1-p)left(fracN-nN-1right).$



        The factor $fracN-nN-1$ in
        $Var(Y)$ is sometimes called the 'finite population correction'; notice
        that if $n < N/10$ then this factor is close to $1.$ [It's called
        'finite population correction' because there is no practical difference between
        sampling with and without replacement when sampling from an infinite population.]



        Of course this factor is not the only distinction between the two distributions. However,
        for large $n$ and for $p$ not
        too close to 0 or 1, both the binomial and hypergeometric distributions
        can be approximated by a normal distribution that matches means and variances.
        In terms of normal approximations the only distinction between sampling
        with and without replacement often amounts to the finite population correction.







        share|cite|improve this answer














        share|cite|improve this answer



        share|cite|improve this answer








        edited Nov 11 at 18:07

























        answered Nov 11 at 10:24









        BruceET

        5,0331519




        5,0331519



























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